Market Recap – July 1st, 2025
My Swing Trading World
📉 What Happened Today in the Markets
U.S. indices ended the session mixed as investors weighed soft economic data against rising expectations for Fed rate cuts later this year.
The S&P 500 closed nearly flat, while the Nasdaq pulled back modestly amid weakness in tech megacaps.
ISM Manufacturing PMI came in weaker than expected (48.5 vs 49.1 est), fueling concerns about slowing industrial activity.
Treasury yields fell across the curve, with the 10Y nearing 4.35%, reflecting defensive positioning into the holiday-shortened week.
Crude oil prices surged over 2% on renewed geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and tighter supply signals from OPEC+.
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🔭 What to Expect Tomorrow
Markets will likely see lighter volume ahead of the July 4th holiday.
All eyes are on JOLTS job openings data and factory orders, which could reinforce the slowing growth narrative.
Tech remains under scrutiny after today’s mild pullback, while energy could stay strong if oil holds its gains.
Watch for potential rotation into defensive sectors as traders rebalance mid-year.
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📊 Action Recap – TizyCharts Watchlist
A look at some of the most notable movers from the TizyCharts swing watchlist:
$TSLA rallied intraday before fading, holding near the $200 breakout zone. It remains a key level for short-term direction.
$AMZN posted strong follow-through on Friday’s move, briefly testing above $190. Momentum remains intact unless it loses the 187.50 zone.
$PLTR traded in tight range but continues to hover above a key support area at $23.30–23.50. A decisive breakdown could trigger short setups.
$RIVN gapped up 6% after Q2 deliveries topped expectations, but sellers stepped in above $16. A volatile name to watch for continuation or failure.
$WHD showed relative strength and is now approaching the 200-day MA. Watch for a potential breakout trigger.
$MARA spiked intraday with Bitcoin volatility but closed off highs. The $21.50–22 area remains a battleground.
$INTC showed weakness on negative semi sentiment after disappointing data from South Korea's chip sector. Below $30.50 could open room lower.
$SG tanked over 10% following a surprise CEO resignation. A breakdown below $22.50 might bring further selling pressure.
$PYPL consolidated near the $61 support. Structure still weak; any bounce toward $63.50 might offer short opportunities.
$FOX saw a bounce on no major news, potentially just a mean-reversion play. Watching for confirmation before any action.
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Final Note
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