3 Consecutive ATHs on $ES_F While Active Setups Rebound to +13.28% | +69.39% YTD
Strategy Outcome +410.72% | Market keeps pushing higher while most traders are still waiting for a pullback that hasn’t arrived
Before going into today’s update, a quick reminder for newer readers.
The overall outcome shown below is not a portfolio simulation, not a CAGR, and not a compounded return model, it simply reflects the cumulative outcome of independent setups tracked over time.
🔖 MENU
1️⃣ My $ES_F View – Where the Market Is Headed
2️⃣ Swing Strategy Recap
3️⃣ Market Sentiment
⭐ My $ES_F View In Depth (PRO — Daily + Hourly View)
1️⃣ My $ES_F View – Where the Market Is Headed
📊 Daily $ES_F — Structure & Behavior Recap
The index printed its third consecutive all-time high, and what continues to stand out is not just the breakout itself, but the complete absence of meaningful weakness underneath it, because while the 21-day EMA continues climbing aggressively, price is still advancing faster than the moving average can catch up.
That usually tells you one very simple thing: momentum remains stronger than most participants are comfortable admitting.
On the daily timeframe, price remains firmly inside LongWave, and what makes this phase particularly interesting is that the market has now moved so cleanly into price discovery that traditional support and resistance levels become far less useful, simply because there are very few recent references above current price.
That often creates psychological discomfort because traders prefer clearly defined levels, yet strong trends rarely offer that comfort.
From the outside, this now looks obvious.
Inside, this trend spent weeks forcing patience before becoming this clean.
For a more detailed short-term view, the hourly structure is covered below in the PRO section.
2️⃣ Swing Strategy Recap
📈 Outcome Chart
📌 Setups Shared
Detailed setup identification continues inside private tracking channels, where members follow structures before outcomes become obvious to everyone else.
💼 Strategy Updates
Daily execution updates continue inside private channels where every setup is tracked as it evolves, including extensions, invalidations, and structural shifts.
💹 Active Setups — Structural Overview
The active basket continues improving as both long and short setups evolve independently, which is a reminder that even during strong index trends, isolated opportunities can still emerge in both directions.
Current active setups:
FRHC (Long) → +7.14%
OMAB (Short) → +5.38%
KHC (Short) → -0.22%
WHD (Long) → +0.98%
Current cumulative outcome of active setups: +13.28%
Top performers:
✅ FRHC +7.14%
✅ OMAB +5.38%
The active basket remains relatively concentrated, but quality continues improving.
👁🗨 Setups On Watch
Several long and short setups remain under observation this week and are shared privately before activation occurs.
That usually matters more than people think, because once the move becomes obvious publicly, much of the edge has already disappeared.
These remain under observation while confirmation develops.
📈 Outcome Overview
YTD Performance: +69.39%
Outcome of Active Setups: +13.28%
Overall Outcome — All-In Risk Management (S.T.): +410.72%
Overall Outcome — Balanced Risk Management (S.T.): +252.49%
📌 Strategy outcome tracking reflects cumulative independent setups over time. It is not CAGR, portfolio simulation, or compounded performance.
3️⃣ Market Sentiment
The biggest mistake traders tend to make in markets like this is assuming that because price has already moved significantly, the move must be close to ending, yet trends often become most frustrating precisely when they continue longer than people expect.
Three consecutive all-time highs usually create two emotional reactions: fear of missing out from traders who stayed out, and premature short attempts from traders who believe price has moved “too far.”
Both reactions tend to be driven by emotion rather than structure.
Right now, structure remains extremely clean.
That can change eventually.
But it has not changed yet.
And the sequence is still unfolding.
⭐ PRO ACCESS INFORMATION
If you’re already a PRO subscriber and need access links, passwords, archives, or platform access details:
👉 https://tizycharts.substack.com/p/where-to-find-everything-on-tizycharts
Everything is listed there.
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Inside members follow the sequence while uncertainty exists.
Outside readers usually see the clean chart after the move.
